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Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel 

  • Offered byUDEMY

Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel
 at 
UDEMY 
Overview

Decision making using sensitivity analysis, decision tree, utility theory, Bayesian statistics, Monte Carlo simulation.

Duration

6 hours

Total fee

399

Mode of learning

Online

Credential

Certificate

Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel
 at 
UDEMY 
Highlights

  • 30-Day Money-Back Guarantee
  • Certificate of completion
  • Full lifetime access
  • Learn from 96 downloadable resources and 2 articles
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Details Icon

Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel
 at 
UDEMY 
Course details

What are the course deliverables?
  • Excel
  • Uncertainty Modeling
  • Decision Analysis
  • Data Analysis
  • Goal Seek
  • VLOOKUP
  • Pivot Table
  • Data Analysis Toolpak
  • Solver
  • Sensitivity Analysis
  • Tornado Chart
  • Treeplan
  • Decision Tree
  • Value of Information
  • Monte Carlo Simulation
  • XLRisk
  • Utility Theory
  • Utility Function
  • Exponential Utility Function
  • Statistics
  • Central Limit Theorem
  • Probability Distribution
More about this course
  • We all have one thing in common. we don't know what will happen tomorrow. Living together in this world full of uncertainties, some decisions are rather difficult to make: I want to save some money for my future, but how should I allocate my investment? I want to invest a lot in this new product, but will the market react to it well enough, to justify my investment? I want to hire more employees, or increase my production, but what if the market demand drops? The global pandemic has not ended, should I buy that cheap plane ticket? This course will give you directions at these crossroads. We will use sensitivity analysis, decision tree, and Monte Carlo simulation to better understand this uncertain world, and ourselves. Even better, we can achieve all of these in Excel, and you don't need to be an advanced Excel user to benefit from this course. We will start from the basics, and go from zero to hero! This course is for anyone who wants to make informed decisions, or just wants to learn more about Excel, or statistics in general. After this course, you will be well-equipped to use Excel to help you tackle real-world puzzles!
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Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel
 at 
UDEMY 
Curriculum

Introduction

Introduction

Excel Essentials - Advanced Functions, What-if Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis

Section Overview: Excel Basics

Organize Your Data - VLOOKUP V.S. INDEX&MATCH

Organize Your Data - INDEX&MATCH over VLOOKUP!

Organize Your Data - SUMPRODUCT (& exercise answer)

Organize Your Data - SUMIF(S), AVERAGEIF(S), COUNTIF(S)

Organize Your Data - Pivot Table

Organize Your Data

Data Analysis & Solver - Goal Seek

Data Analysis & Solver - Solver

Data Analysis & Solver - Data Table

Data Analysis Toolpak

Sensitivity Analysis - Tornado Chart (no add-in)

Sensitivity Analysis - Tornado Chart (with add-in)

Case study: FGC Income Statement

Sensitivity Analysis - Solver Sensitivity Report

Decision Tree Modeling in Excel - Value of Information, Utility Theory

Section Overview: Decision Tree in Excel

Decision Tree Add-in Installation

Decision Tree Basics

Introduction - Case study: Rainbow in a cup

VOI - Value of Information Basics

Perfect and Imperfect Information

VOI - Value of Perfect Information

VOI - Value of Imperfect Information - Flipped Probability (Bayes' Theorem)

VOI: Bayes' Theorem

VOI - Value of Imperfect Information - Flipped Probability (Tree Flipping)

Case study: Rainbow in a cup

Utility Theory

Exponential Utility Function

Utility Theory

Utility Theory in Decision Tree

Introduction - Case study: Magic Beans

Case study: Magic Beans

Monte Carlo Simulation in Excel - Statistics, Decision Optimization, Correlation

Section Overview: Monte Carlo Simulation in Excel

Statistics Mini Series - Density & Cumulative Functions (PDF&CDF)

Statistics Mini Series - Normal Distribution ad Confidence Interval

Statistics Mini Serie - Standard Normal Distribution

Statistics Mini Series - Stochastic Dominance

Statistics Mini Series - Central Limit Theorem & First Simulation with XLRisk

Statistics Mini Series - 8 Common Probability Distributions and Histogram

Statistics Mini Series

Simulation Basics - Monte Carlo Simulation Theory (Overbooking Example)

Simulation Basics - Monte Carlo Simulation without Add-in (Overbooking Example)

Simulation Basics - Monte Carlo Simulation with XLRisk (Overbooking Example)

Optimal Decision in Simulation (XLRisk) - Hiring Decision (Exercise Answer)

Optimal Decision in Simulation (XLRisk) - Solver & Stochastic Dominance

Optimal Decision in Simulation (XLRisk) - Utility Theory (Hiring Decision)

Correlation in Simulation (XLRisk) - What is Correlation?

Correlation in Simulation (XLRisk) - Hiring Decision Revisit

Faculty Icon

Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel
 at 
UDEMY 
Faculty details

Gancheng Sun
Designation : Excel Modeling Instructor

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Decision Modeling and Risk Analysis with Excel
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