He, however, warned that poll rallies can prove to be a super spreader for COVID infection.
Prof Manindra Agarwal of the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Kanpur has said that the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic will end in April. He, however, warned that election rallies can prove to be a super spreader for Corona infection, as it is not easy to follow the Covid guidelines in such large gatherings.
Agarwal said as a large number of people participate in election rallies without following COVID guidelines. In such case, the risk of infection increases to a great extent, so there is a need to be careful. If there are rallies, the transition can pick up ahead of time.
1.8 lakh COVID cases can come daily
According to Agarwal, who bases his predictions of the epidemic on the basis of his mathematical model, the third wave will come in India in January and in March, 1.8 lakh cases can come daily.
“It will be a matter of relief that only one in 10 will need a hospital. Two lakh beds will be needed in the middle of March,” he said. He further said 80 per cent of the population in Africa and India is below 45 years of age. Natural immunity is up to 80 per cent in both countries. In both countries, the delta variant has been due to mutants. Like South Africa, India is also less likely to have a major impact, he claimed. A total of 1,700 cases of Omicron variant of Coronavirus have been detected across 23 states and union territories so far, of which 639 have recovered or migrated, according to the data of Union Health Ministry updated on Monday.
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