COVID-19 third wave possibility negligible, says IIT Kanpur study

Releasing his new study based on mathematical ‘model formula’, Prof Manindra Aggarwal, a scientist at IIT Kanpur, said the COVID-19 vaccination drive has further reduced the infection risk to a great extent.  

An IIT Kanpur scientist has claimed that the possibility of a third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in India is now negligible. Prof Manindra Aggarwal released his new study based on his mathematical ‘model formula’, saying that the COVID-19 vaccination drive had further reduced the risk of a third wave.  

“The vaccination has ensured the reduction in the infection to a great extent. He said states such as Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Delhi were on the way to become almost infection free. However, the active cases in the country will remain close to 15,000 till October as there will be infection in the Northeastern states and also Tamil Nadu, Telangana and Kerala,” he said. 

Prof Agarwal has predicted that by October, the number of cases in states such as Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Delhi and Madhya Pradesh will reach unit digit.  

Meanwhile, on Sunday, two more COVID patients in Kanpur became infection free in home isolation. The number of new infections has been zero. In Kanpur, 82,906 people had been infected with COVID-19 of which 80,991 patients have been cured. Among the cured patients, 69,616 found health benefits at home and only 11,375 patients were hospitalised for treatment. 

Chief Medical Officer Dr Nepal Singh said there were only 11 active COVID-19 cases left in the city now.  

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